XRP sends early warning: Technical signals indicate a risk of a 25% fall in 2025

In 2025, each time the Stochastic RSI indicator on the daily timeframe exits the overbought zone, the price of XRP tends to record an average drop of up to 25%. Currently, a similar pattern is gradually forming in July, raising concerns that a new correction may occur soon in the coming days or weeks.

XRP once fell from 12% to 45% in previous cycles

Stochastic RSI is an indicator that measures momentum by comparing the current RSI value of an asset to its nearest range of oscillation. On the daily chart of XRP, this indicator has exceeded the overbought level ( above 80) since June 28 and has remained in this zone, indicating that the market is in a state of high excitement.

XRP/USD Daily Chart | Source: TradingViewHistorical data shows that XRP often experiences strong reversals whenever the Stochastic RSI returns to the neutral zone. In 2025, each time this signal appeared, it led to significant corrections, with fluctuations ranging from 12% to 45%, averaging over 25%.

Currently, the technical structure of XRP is issuing warnings about the risk of a deeper correction — unless the market experiences a clear breakout strong enough to eliminate the weakening signals that are forming.

The risk of a 50-70% decline still exists

After an impressive breakout, XRP is gradually entering the accumulation phase within the framework of a descending triangle – a technical structure that often carries negative implications. According to the analysis, the current target adjustment zone is around the $1.14 mark, equivalent to a nearly 50% fall from the current price.

Daily XRP/USD chart | Source: TradingViewTechnical analyst Xanrox even issued a warning about a deeper correction, based on the ascending triangle pattern that has spanned several years – a pattern that has dominated the price trend of XRP since 2017.

Weekly XRP/USD Chart | Source: TradingViewThe highlight in Xanrox's analysis is the Fair Value Gap – FVG( that was formed during the vertical rise earlier this year. According to him, such imbalance zones tend to be "filled" quickly when the market turns around for correction.

Based on this model, Xanrox forecasts that XRP may repeat the adjustment scenario after the surge to $3.40 in 2025, with a target fall close to the lower trendline of the triangle – around $0.60, equivalent to a drop of about 70% from the current price zone.

Some experts remain optimistic

However, not all experts hold a pessimistic view. According to analysis from Mikybull Crypto, XRP is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern – a technical signal often indicating a strong breakout potential – with a price target set at $3.70 by September. Meanwhile, XForceGlobal is even more optimistic, predicting that XRP could reach a price zone from $8 to $27, based on resistance levels established using the Fibonacci tool.

In addition, some other analysts also noted positive signals from the fact that XRP has broken the descending wedge pattern, combined with accumulation signs from whale wallets – a factor that could push the price of this coin up to around $3.20 in the near future.

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