Ripple's lawyer gives a 70% chance of winning in the XRP lawsuit.

The issuer of XRP, Ripple, may soon achieve legal clarity as attorney John E. Deaton estimates there is a 70% chance that Judge Analisa Torres will approve the joint proposal recently submitted by Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The lawsuit related to XRP has had a new development as Ripple and SEC jointly filed a motion to end the protracted legal battle. This move comes after Ripple's efforts to access the $125 million currently locked in an escrow account. According to the proposed agreement, $50 million will be paid to the SEC as a penalty, while the remaining $75 million will be returned to Ripple. Both parties believe that this agreement will expedite the resolution process, avoid prolonged appeals, and put an end to the legal battle that has lasted more than four years.

Deaton reveals that he will analyze in more detail the likelihood of success of the XRP lawsuit today, explaining why Judge Torres should approve it and why she may not do so. After that, his legal and regulatory news channel for digital asset investors in the US, CryptoLaw, will conduct a survey to see what the community thinks.

Deaton: SEC's actions towards crypto are "tough"

After stating that there is a 70% chance that Judge Torres will approve the proposal to settle the XRP lawsuit, attorney John Deaton responded to comments from the public. He mentioned that he does not expect to be praised or flattered by those involved. Instead, he hopes that the SEC will acknowledge some responsibility for its past harsh actions against the crypto industry.

Attorney Deaton believes that the SEC should acknowledge that previous leaders of the agency acted too rigidly towards the sector. He also mentioned that Judge Sarah Netburn once stated that the SEC's lawyers did not adhere to the spirit of the rule of law. In addition, he cited an example of a recent lawsuit related to Debt Box, in which the SEC's lawyers were sanctioned for their conduct.

Additionally, John Deaton also believes that the legal developments ahead ( include bills such as Crypto Clarity and Genius Acts) that may have been cited to support the proposal to settle the lawsuit.

Meanwhile, former SEC official Marc Fagel has expressed concerns about the SEC's recent legal arguments in its court filings. According to him, the SEC's citing of factors such as elections and changes in policy focus is a weak legal argument.

Bill Morgan: The agreement file between SEC and Ripple will soon be approved

On May 8, 2025, the SEC and Ripple submitted a joint letter to the Southern District Court of New York ( under the United States federal court system ). In the petition, both parties stated that the approval of this agreement would eliminate the possibility of an appeal and help save resources for the court.

The letter states:

"The solution proposed by the parties will help preserve the resources of the Second Circuit Court of Appeals... and put an end to 4.5 years of intense legal disputes."

If approved, this will be the official conclusion to one of the most closely watched lawsuits in the field of crypto regulation.

Analysts like Bill Morgan believe that the judge is highly likely to agree with this proposal, although most of the arguments presented are procedural.

While the XRP lawsuit is still ongoing in court, the price of XRP is currently fluctuating within a narrow range. Technical indicators show that the market is in a consolidation phase, with prices oscillating around important support levels.

If the price of XRP falls below the $2 mark, selling pressure may increase. However, if it recovers from this level, the price could rise back to the $2.5 region. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 41.18 – indicating a slightly bearish trend, but there is still potential for recovery.

XRP price chart 4 hours | Source: TradingviewMinh Anh