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There is a concept, very important: #BTC#
That is, do not try to guess the bullish or bearish!
This point is really very, very, very important,
Many people start by choosing a direction, and after a round of analysis, they then select either long or short.
In fact, this is very, very wrong. Your analysis is meaningless and as inaccurate as a weather forecast.
Long and short positions are very simple. Look at the moving averages, choose a moving average: if it's above, go long; if it's below, go short. Execute mechanically, without analysis or prediction.
This is the right path!!!
Although I know this is the right path, I often find it difficult to follow. I frequently like to analyze and predict trends, overcoming human nature, which is very hard.
Why is the analysis useless?
For example, whether it is rising or falling today,
If you are bearish, you will look for negative factors, such as the Middle East war,
If you are bullish, go back to look for positive news, such as the popularity of stablecoins in the United States, which is favorable for virtual currencies.
Did you understand it???
In fact, in your subconscious, you first look for a long or short position, and then look for evidence to support your prediction!
So, don't analyze the bulls and bears anymore, just look at the market; if it rises, go long, and if it falls, go short.
Long above the moving average, short below.
It's that simple.
Any technology you want to learn is essentially predicting the market, which is meaningless.
The market cannot be predicted, it can only be followed.