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The Amount of XRP Ripple Can Launch into the Market is Decreasing! What Will Happen When It's Over?
As Ripple's escrow program for XRP approaches its end, the cryptocurrency community has focused on this development. According to community analyses, there are currently 36.4 billion XRP in escrow accounts that could be fully released over the next six years.
According to the data from XRPwallets, the XRP analysis community states that if Ripple continues to release 300 million XRP every month, the total supply will be depleted in 10 years. However, if the monthly release amount is increased to 400 million XRP starting from 2026, this period will be reduced to 7.5 years, and if an aggressive strategy is adopted by increasing the monthly release amount by 100 million XRP each year, it could drop to just 6 years.
Additionally, predictions that Ripple may abandon its past strategy of "releasing a certain amount and then re-locking it" could also indicate that this process may accelerate.
The signals of this change in the market have already started to be seen. Ripple released a total of 1 billion XRP from its escrow account on the 1st and 4th of this month. While 700 million XRP was re-locked, the remaining 300 million XRP was allocated for liquidity services on demand (ODL), exchange-traded products (ETP’ler), and blockchain infrastructure projects.
XRP wallets noted that Ripple adjusts its circulating supply according to market demand, stating that "the likelihood of adopting a more flexible strategy rather than a conditional fixed release and locking method is increasing."
This strategy change is significant not only in terms of the distribution amount but also for the liquidity and infrastructure expansion of the XRP ecosystem. How Ripple will distribute its escrow volume and at what speed, as well as whether it will maintain its relocking strategy during this process, could play a decisive role in the XRP price and market dynamics.
Currently, a significant portion of the XRP supply is held in escrow accounts controlled by Ripple.