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Last April, I predicted the price would be 93K by the end of the year. At midnight, it was $93,300.
If we take this as a reference and predict a reach of 200,000 by November this year, we still have 11 months since the end of last year, and a multiple of 2.1.
If we rise exponentially as usual (, on average ), this means during a bull market:
2.1^(1/(11*30) )=1.0022 or 0.22% daily for 11 months.
After 6 months at this speed, we should reach 1.0022^(6*30)=1.48 times, which is about 138K compared to 93K.
We have increased by about 17% relative to 93K, thus 1.17^( 1 /(1/(6*30))=1.00087 or 0.087% daily since the beginning of the year.
If we maintain this growth rate over the next year, we will reach 1.00087^(*30)=1.13 in November, which is a growth of 13%.
This means approximately 124K, instead of the previously predicted 200K.
Of course, BTC can catch up and move quickly in a short period of time. These are just rough estimates of the performance observed so far this year.