Bitcoin at $118,000! 🚀 Will it rise higher or wait for a correction at $100k? Let's analyze! Hello, криптоэнтузиасты! 👋 Bitcoin is in the spotlight again, and not without reason! The price has broken through an astonishing $118,000!

🤯 The new high is exhilarating, but it raises a question: what comes next? Will we continue to shoot for the stars 🚀 or will we turn back to the ground for a correction until $100,000?
🐻 Let's think about it!
🔥 Reasons for the continued rise ( big shot scenario ):
The institutions' appetite is rising!
📈 The inflow of funds through Bitcoin ETF ( has not weakened, especially in the United States ). The big players have only just begun to add Bit to their portfolios. This is a huge source of demand!
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Macroeconomic winds in the sails? 🌬️ This year's expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and other central banks have made non-yielding assets ( like BTC ) attractive again. A weaker dollar is another advantage.
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The Halving Effect: It's only been a few months since April's halving! 🪓 Historically, the real rise in BTC has usually occurred within 6-12 months of the halving. We may just be at the beginning of this cycle! ⏳
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FOMO in action: 📣 The new peak has attracted the attention of the media, the public, and most importantly, retail investors who are "afraid of missing out" ( FOMO ). This could lead to a self-sustaining wave of purchases. 🌊
Technical Shock: Breakthrough Key Resistance ( like $100k psychological barrier ) is the next target ( $120k, $130k and higher ). The chart looks strong! 💪
⚠️ Arguments in favor of the $100k ( Gangster/Fix Scenario ):
Overbought - Reality: 📊 Based on many indicators such as ( RSI and ), Bitcoin looks very overbought in the short-term and medium-term time frames. The market is in dire need of a breather. 😮‍💨
Profit = Sales: 🤑 Many early investors or those who bought at lower levels ( $60k, $70k, $80k ) will naturally want to lock in profits at such high levels. This creates selling pressure. 💸
Macro uncertainty: 🌍 The global economy is unstable. Wars, elections, unexpected inflation data, or central bank policies can sharply weaken risk appetite and take a toll on cryptocurrencies.
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Regulatory factors: 👮 There is always a risk of negative news or actions by regulators in large jurisdictions ( the US, EU ). This could trigger a short-term panic.
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Healthy adjustments - this is normal! 📉 Even in the strongest bullish trend, a pullback of 15-30% is absolutely normal and even helps to consolidate the gains. The pullback from the current $118k to $100k is exactly about 15%, which is well within the range of health adjustments.
🔮 What are my expectations ( more likely to be? ):
To be honest? Both scenarios have the right to exist now. But if weighing the possibilities:
In the short term ( week ): I think the chances of a pullback to or near $100k( are higher. 🤔 The market is too "hot", the indicator shows that it is overbought, and profit-taking is inevitable. This is not the end of the rally, but a necessary recharge. ⚡
In the medium/long-term outlook, ) months (: the bull market trend is dominant. 🐂
🔥 Fundamental drivers )ETF, halving, macro ( are too strong. After pullbacks and consolidations, there is a high probability of a refresh of the highs and a move towards $120k, $130k and above.
🚀 It seems to me that the probability of such a scenario, after correction, exceeds )70/30(.
💡 Final results and action guide for investors:
Don't panic during a pullback! Adjustments are part of the game. 🎯
$100k – Strong support. This is a critical level for purchases if an adjustment occurs. 🛡️
Discipline above all: use risk management strategies ) stop-loss, DCA - cost averaging (. Never invest more than you can afford to lose! ⚖️
Look further: if you believe in the long-term potential of Bitcoin, then the current volatility is just noise.🔭
Please pay attention to the news: ETF inflow data, Federal Reserve statements, global events - these are all fuel for the market.📰
Bitcoin at $118k – it's a historic moment! ✨ Will it pull back to $100k? It's entirely possible, it's normal. But the overall trend, supported by strong fundamentals, still points to the upside. 🌕 Hold on, stay smart, and keep your portfolio growing! 💪💎
What do you think? Please write your thoughts in the comments! We'd love to discuss! 👇😉 ) #BTC# #PUMP#