Wall Street giants enter the scene, the Federal Reserve finds itself in a tough spot. Is it the tail of a bull or a prelude to a Bear Market?

Brothers, unless something unexpected happens, the roller coaster is about to start again. Right now, this market is just like Chongqing hotpot, with red oil bubbling and all kinds of ingredients being thrown in. BlackRock's group is publicly shouting compliance, but secretly laying out all the exchanges, ETFs, and mining farms, clearly aiming to eat up the entire industry chain. It's just like when Goldman Sachs entered the crude oil market, first hoarding goods, then pumping up prices, and finally leaving no roots of the leeks behind.
But let's not panic, the entry of large institutions indicates at least two things: 1. They see value in this market 2. People won't die in the short term. The Federal Reserve is currently just saving face while suffering, having lost $77.6 billion last year but still stubbornly maintaining high interest rates. In my opinion, these suited guys will eventually kneel; the probability of a rate cut in June is already 81%, and right now they are just being tough. When the day of the actual rate cut comes, Bitcoin will easily soar to $100,000. However, the trade war is coming back, so be cautious until April 2nd; don't let a policy black swan catch us off guard.
Currently, the global fire barrel collides with the crypto butterfly effect, with geopolitical black swans flying everywhere, making the crypto market a new battleground for hedging.
News just came in that a ceasefire has been reached in the Black Sea amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict, leading to a drop in oil prices. But don’t think this is stable! Putin still holds the energy card, and the situation in the Middle East could explode at any moment. Right now, global capital is like a startled bird; gold is rising, the dollar is strong, and Bitcoin is hovering sideways. What does this indicate? It indicates that large funds are waiting for direction.
On April 2, the big beautiful tariff stick will land. If the foreign trade chain of the Great Heavenly Empire collapses, Asian capital might rush to convert to U and flee overnight. By then, the exchange's liquidation orders could pile up like a mountain!
And Sun Tzu said: Understanding King Concept Coin = New Era Tulip? Come on, buddy, this old guy Trump is inspiring to become a "Crypto Superpower", but turned around and his own meme coin just harvested 270,000 dollars from the retail investors. The words of political wise animals must be interpreted oppositely: the more he shouts to buy, the more the big players sell! Right now, MEME coins are in a regulatory vacuum, and the SEC has clearly stated they won't intervene, but settling accounts after the autumn harvest is just a matter of time.
On the eve of global central banks unleashing liquidity, the big players remind everyone to be cautious of liquidity traps.
Japan ends negative interest rates, the European Central Bank is dragging its feet, and now the most critical issue is the global dollar shortage. Emerging market currencies are plummeting, with the Turkish lira and Egyptian pound collapsing. Wealthy individuals in these major countries are frantically converting their assets into Bitcoin, which is why large on-chain transfers are occurring frequently. However, if the Federal Reserve really waits until June to cut interest rates, altcoins might see blood flowing in April and May.
In addition, the shadow of the giant whale in this era still looms, with 20 billion black swans hanging high.
The 194,000 bitcoins confiscated by PlusToken back in the day have recently been tracked on the blockchain showing they are being sold on the dark web market. Given the pressure of RMB devaluation, it cannot be ruled out that this regime will sell off crypto assets to stabilize the exchange rate.

However, everyone doesn’t need to panic too much. The current situation of Bitcoin is that the big players are all-in, and $80,000 has become the new battleground! Looking at the data, Fidelity just bought $60 million worth of Bitcoin, BlackRock is launching ETPs in Europe, and the top 70 institutions increased their holdings by over 7,000 in just one week. This is basically a clear signal telling you: anything below $80,000 is a bargain!
The technical double bottom pattern is clear, and the market makers are just waiting to blow up the short positions of 88,000 to 91,000 dollars. In the short term, the pressure at 90,000 dollars is immense, but the informants from the big sharks reveal that those guys on Wall Street have already set up their take profit orders at 100,000 dollars.
Let’s talk about Ethereum, this piece of junk. Sigh! A fallen noble who can’t turn things around, $2000 is the line between life and death! Ethereum is now like the Jia Yueting of the crypto world, boasting wildly with PPT while actually underperforming severely. TVL has been halved, whales are fleeing, and even the amount being burned has hit a historical low. What’s worse is that BlackRock has come charging into Solana with BUIDL, and Vitalik’s face has been slapped swollen! On the technical side, $2000 is the critical point; if it breaks, we’re looking directly at $1800. But a dead camel is still bigger than a horse; after all, it’s still the second in the circle, so there’s still a chance to rise.
The Shanzhai sector, speculators are playing with the remnants of Chuan Jianguo, and we still have to wait for the season of the "earth dog"! Look at this magical reality: yesterday Trump posted a meme, and it made the retail investors lose 270,000 dollars in half an hour. This is even more ridiculous than a casino in Macau! The current Shanzhai index is only 18, far from the bull market standard of 75.
In the past couple of days, chain abstraction has been very popular. The big players can tell you that chain abstraction is an IQ tax, and Meme coins are just experiencing a last gasp! Particle: Is the Tsinghua team working on chain abstraction? Laughable! This is something even Vitalik can't handle. This track is just for VCs to deceive financing, a market cap of 300 million is already considered too much, it peaks right after launch, then starts to halve.
Navi: Is Sui chain the leading lending protocol? Sui is almost cooling down, and its TVL is still less than that of BNB chain. OK's current listing of coins is purely a desperate attempt, jumping in is just catching flying knives.
Layer: The hardware SVM is being hyped up, essentially just flattering the Solana ecosystem. Now that it has soared to new highs, it's time to short it quickly; the team token unlock day will be the time it returns to zero.
Cheems: BN is manipulating community voting to list coins, clearly looking for someone to take over. A dog coin with a market value of 400 million dares to surge? Remember the iron law of Meme coins: BN goes live and it’s peak, double your investment and run without looking back.
If you don't want to be cut, pay attention to the suggestions of the big players: 1. Don't touch coins that are not in the top 50 of CMC, 2. Altcoins with a market cap greater than Dogecoin are all scams, 3. For Meme coins, look for those that haven't been unlocked yet to avoid dumps, or wait until this wave of crashes is over to buy the dip! Key focus: AI + Depin track (especially the layout of BlackRock), RWA concept (Fidelity is secretly buying), as for Trump concept coins, it's advisable to stay away.
The core of eating meat is the management of the position, you must understand that the management of the position is life and death, and drink with the deaf Mingqian! 别信什嘛「永Heng牛市的鬼话,记住大佬都在偷偷出货的时候,是你该系安全带的时候。
At any time, respecting the market and going with the trend is our unbreakable trading principle. Otherwise, no matter how flashy your operations are or how much capital you have for averaging down, those who go against the flow will ultimately be swept away in the torrent of trends, leaving you with a confused expression and a shattered account. Alright, that’s it for today. If you like the big players, feel free to like, follow, and leave your comments. #BTC#