AERO Price Prediction: Smart Money and Derivation Inject 16 Million Liquidity, Fibonacci Resistance Becomes the Battleground for Bulls and Bears

Aerodrome Finance (AERO) has surged 8.5% in the past 24 hours, with on-chain Liquidity reaching a recent high. Smart money (Smart Money) has net purchased $785,000 AERO in the past 7 days, with over $16 million flowing into the derivatives market in a single day, pushing open interest (OI) to break the $100 million mark, while spot net inflow exceeds one million, indicating a tendency for long-term holding. Despite strong longer momentum, AERO currently faces a critical Fibonacci resistance at $1.47, with trading volume plummeting 40% to $127 million, warning of insufficient breakout momentum. If it cannot effectively break through the resistance, the price may pull back to the support at $1.25, and investors should be cautious of the high Fluctuation risks in DeFi protocols at the resistance level.

Smart money makes a big bet, AERO becomes the hottest asset of the week

Aerodrome Finance (AERO) has risen by 8.5% in the past 24 hours, with its Liquidity inflow climbing to recent highs. Smart money (known for profitable trading), derivation, and Spot investors have collectively injected over $16 million into the asset. Although this is good news, AMBCrypto analysis points out that there are still significant obstacles ahead.

Smart money strongly endorses, liquidity ranks first in the market

As market liquidity surged, smart money turned its attention to AERO. According to Nansen data, AERO was the most purchased token in the past 7 days. This group collectively bought AERO worth $785,000, while the available liquidity reached $52 million at that time, ranking first in the market at the time of the report. When smart money establishes strong positions in assets like AERO, the likelihood of a significant bullish trend increases, especially considering its past successful trading record.

Synchronization of Funds Flowing into Derivatives and Spot Markets

The derivatives market has seen the strongest capital inflow for AERO. In just the past 24 hours, derivative investors have increased their investments by over 16 million USD, pushing the open interest up by 16%, slightly exceeding 100 million USD. This round of capital inflow is accompanied by an increase in the OI-weighted funding rate to 0.0184%. The positive and high funding rate indicates that most liquidity comes from bullish traders expecting a price increase. The spot market is also showing strong activity. Coinglass data shows that net inflows into spot exchanges have slightly exceeded $1 million in the past 48 hours, with investors tending to store tokens in private wallets for long-term holdings. If the bullish sentiment in the spot and derivation markets can be maintained, the price of AERO is expected to continue its upward trend.

Fibonacci resistance looming, a breakout requires volume confirmation

Although the capital inflow is bullish, AERO still faces a key resistance level ahead. As of the time of writing, the token has not yet broken through this resistance. This resistance is marked by the Fibonacci retracement. The analysis also shows that even if AERO can break through the current resistance level of $1.47, there are other resistance levels approaching above.

Key Risks: Volume Shrinkage Warns of Weak Breakthrough

If the resistance cannot be successfully broken, the token price may pull back to the recent support level of $1.25. Ultimately, the next movement of AERO depends on market momentum. A surge in volume will confirm the validity of a potential breakout. However, at the time of writing, the volume has decreased by 40% to $127 million—this indicates that while an increase is still possible, its probability has diminished.

Conclusion

AERO, backed by smart money and propelled by derivation funds, surged strongly, but the critical resistance zone at $1.47 combined with shrinking volume poses a severe challenge. The high fluctuation characteristics of DeFi protocol tokens are brewing a fierce battle between bulls and bears in this area, and investors need to closely monitor on-chain smart money movements and changes in derivation funding rates. If the price breaks through the Fibonacci resistance with increased volume, the upward space may open; conversely, if it continues to be under pressure and trading volume does not recover, the short-term pullback risk will surge. It is recommended to closely monitor the large order placement on CEX and changes in DEX liquidity pools to capture early signals of breakouts/reversals.