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Five major potential favourable information factors may drive a new round of pump in the crypto assets market.
Analysis of Potential Favourable Information in the Crypto Assets Market
Currently, there are many positive trends in the Crypto Assets field, such as improvements in regulatory frameworks, the development of stablecoins, an increase in corporate coin purchases, ETFs driving institutional investor participation, and the recovery of Ethereum. These factors have been widely discussed in the market, but their impact may be underestimated. Nevertheless, there may still be some significant Favourable Information that has not been fully priced in by the market before the end of the year.
The trend of government buying Bitcoin may accelerate
This year, the demand for Bitcoin mainly comes from three aspects: ETFs, enterprises, and governments. Currently, ETFs have purchased over 180,000 Bitcoins, and listed companies have bought over 350,000, far exceeding the new supply during the same period, driving the price up by 27.1%. However, government purchases have not yet been carried out on a large scale. Although a few countries have started small-scale purchases, it is expected that more countries will join before the end of the year, which could become an important driving force in 2026.
The depreciation of the dollar and the decline in interest rates may boost Bitcoin
The current Bitcoin price is nearing historical highs, while interest rates are at elevated levels, a situation that is uncommon. The market has anticipated multiple rate cuts within the year, but it may have underestimated the government's intention for a significant depreciation of the dollar. If large-scale rate cuts and dollar depreciation occur, the price of Bitcoin could rise significantly.
The decline in volatility drives an increase in institutional allocation ratio
The volatility of Bitcoin has significantly decreased recently, approaching the levels of some high-volatility tech stocks. This has prompted institutional investors to consider increasing the allocation of Crypto Assets in their portfolios from around 1% in the past to 5% or even higher. This is also one of the important reasons for the accelerated inflow of Bitcoin ETFs.
The ICO model may be reborn
Initial Coin Offering ( ICO ) has been notorious for fraudulent activities. However, regulators are considering new rules to create conditions for the healthy development of the ICO model. If the new regulations are implemented, it may attract a significant influx of new funds into the Crypto Assets market.
Conclusion
The market often rises due to favourable information that has not been fully priced in. Currently, the market may be underestimating the scale of the current bull market and ignoring some factors that could have a significant impact in the coming months or years. Investors should remain vigilant against potential price surges.