Sonic Labs發布了一款新的開源庫，旨在爲基於有向無環圖(DAG)的區塊鏈共識協議提供形式認證，它聲稱這一舉措將有助於提高去中心化網路的安全標準。
驗證共識協議的數學證明
正式認證庫

SONIC

區塊鏈

Sonic Labs 發布了一個新的開源庫，旨在爲基於有向無環圖(DAG)的區塊鏈共識協議提供形式認證，這一舉措被其稱爲將有助於提高去中心化網路的安全標準。

## 數學證明以驗證共識協議

該形式驗證庫是與悉尼大學和法國研究機構INRIA的研究人員合作開發的，首次在本月早些時候於NASA正式方法會議2025 (NFM 2025)在維吉尼亞州威廉斯堡展示。

該庫使用TLA+，一種由微軟研究院開發的形式化規範語言，來數學證明共識協議的正確性。

Sonic Labs表示，該工具通過提供可重復使用的模塊化組件，簡化了建模和驗證復雜分布式系統的過程，這些組件可以應用於多種區塊鏈架構。

認證的協議已經包括DAG-Rider、Cordial Miner、Bullshark、Hashgraph和Aleph。Sonic自己的EVM兼容共識協議也已被驗證爲使用該工具的衍生協議。

“有了這個庫，我們正從希望轉變爲證明，提供工具以數學確定性驗證一個協議在所有條件下將安全運行，”首席研究官伯恩哈德·肖爾茨博士說道。

## 區塊鏈共識中的安全挑戰

如今，區塊鏈保護着數萬億美元的數字資產，這對基礎共識基礎設施的無故障運行施加了重大壓力。

這些機制中的漏洞可能導致雙重支付、帳本不一致或全面攻擊。

雖然審計和滲透測試是行業標準實踐，但它們無法保證在復雜的異步環境中完全不存在關鍵漏洞。

形式驗證提供了一種替代方案，通過數學證明一個協議在所有可能的場景下都能安全運行。Sonic Labs表示，其新工具不僅可以用於審計現有協議，還可以幫助開發人員從零開始設計或修改基於有向無環圖(DAG)的系統。

該公司已經在內部使用該庫來驗證其自身區塊鏈網路的安全性，並聲稱在定義的條件下可以從數學上消除不安全行爲的可能性。

通過開源該庫，Sonic Labs旨在降低構建安全區塊鏈系統的成本和復雜性，同時促進在Web3開發中更廣泛採用形式認證。

Sonic是一個與EVM兼容的區塊鏈，旨在實現高吞吐量，提供亞秒的最終性和最高可達400,000筆交易每秒的處理速度。

該網路採用費用貨幣化模型，允許開發者獲得其去中心化應用生成的90%的交易費用。

## 爲什麼這很重要

隨着越來越多的價值被鎖定在區塊鏈網路中，共識協議中的小缺陷可能導致重大財務損失和信任破裂。Sonic Labs 的開源認證工具利用數學確保協議安全，填補了傳統測試經常忽視的空白。

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## 人們還在問：

**區塊鏈中的共識協議是什麼？** 共識協議是一組規則，允許分布式網路參與者就區塊鏈的當前狀態達成一致，確保所有副本一致且交易得到正確驗證。

  **爲什麼共識對區塊鏈很重要？** 共識對於維護區塊鏈的完整性、安全性和可信性至關重要。它可以防止雙重支付等問題，並確保所有網路參與者共享相同的交易歷史。

  **什麼是基於DAG的共識協議？** 有向無環圖(DAG) (共識協議使用圖結構而不是傳統鏈來記錄交易。這種設計可以提高相對於線性區塊鏈的可擴展性和交易速度。

  **什麼是形式驗證？** 形式驗證是一種數學方法，用於證明系統設計的正確性和安全性，確保它在所有可能的條件下按預期行爲。

  
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Sonic Labs has released a new open-source library designed to provide formal verification for DAG-based blockchain consensus protocols, a move it claims will help raise the security standards for decentralized networks.
 Mathematical Proofs to Verify Consensus Protocols
The formal verification lib

Sonic Labs has released a new open-source library designed to provide formal verification for DAG-based blockchain consensus protocols, a move it claims will help raise the security standards for decentralized networks.

## Mathematical Proofs to Verify Consensus Protocols

The formal verification library, developed in collaboration with researchers from the University of Sydney and French research institute INRIA, was first presented earlier this month at NASA Formal Methods 2025 (NFM 2025) in Williamsburg, Virginia.

The library uses TLA+, a formal specification language developed by Microsoft Research, to mathematically prove the correctness of consensus protocols 

Sonic Labs said the tool simplifies the process of modeling and verifying complex distributed systems by offering reusable, modular components that can be applied across multiple blockchain architectures.

Verified protocols already include DAG-Rider, Cordial Miner, Bullshark, Hashgraph, and Aleph. Sonic’s own EVM-compatible consensus protocol has also been validated as a derivative using the tool.

“With this library, we’re shifting from hope to proof, offering the tools to verify, with mathematical certainty, that a protocol will behave safely under all conditions,” said Chief Research Officer Dr. Bernhard Scholz.

## Security Challenges in Blockchain Consensus

Blockchains today secure trillions of dollars in digital assets, putting significant pressure on the underlying consensus infrastructure to operate without fault.

Vulnerabilities in these mechanisms can lead to double spending, ledger inconsistencies, or full-scale exploits 

While audits and penetration testing are standard industry practices, they cannot guarantee the complete absence of critical bugs, particularly in complex, asynchronous environments.

Formal verification offers an alternative by mathematically proving that a protocol functions safely under all possible scenarios. Sonic Labs said its new tool can be used not only to audit existing protocols but also to assist developers in designing or modifying DAG-based systems from scratch.

The company is already using the library internally to verify the safety of its own blockchain network and claims that it can mathematically eliminate the possibility of unsafe behavior under defined conditions.

By open-sourcing the library, Sonic Labs aims to reduce the cost and complexity of building secure blockchain systems while promoting broader adoption of formal verification in Web3 development.

Sonic is an EVM-compatible blockchain designed for high throughput, offering sub-second finality and processing speeds of up to 400,000 transactions per second 

The network features a Fee Monetization model that allows developers to earn 90% of the transaction fees generated by their decentralized applications.

## Why This Matters

As more value is locked in blockchain networks, small flaws in consensus protocols can cause major financial losses and damage trust. Sonic Labs’ open-source verification tool utilizes mathematics to ensure protocol safety, filling a gap that traditional testing often overlooks.

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## People Also Ask:

**What is a consensus protocol in blockchain?** A consensus protocol is a set of rules that allows distributed network participants to agree on the current state of the blockchain, ensuring all copies are consistent and transactions are validated correctly.

  **Why is consensus important for blockchains?** Consensus is essential to maintain the integrity, security, and trustworthiness of a blockchain. It prevents issues like double spending and ensures that all network participants share the same transaction history.

  **What are DAG-based consensus protocols?** DAG (Directed Acyclic Graph) consensus protocols use a graph structure rather than a traditional chain to record transactions. This design can improve scalability and transaction speed compared to linear blockchains.

  **What is formal verification?** Formal verification is a mathematical method used to prove the correctness and security of a system’s design, ensuring it behaves as intended under all possible conditions.

  
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Sonic Labs Unveils Open-Source Library for DAG Blockchain Verification

Sonic Labs 發布開放原始碼庫用於有向無環圖(DAG)區塊鏈驗證

瑞波幣 (XRP) 由於投資者因地緣政治緊張局勢和證券交易委員會訴訟延遲而產生的恐慌，跌破了 $2。關於可能的 $150M 和解的猜測不斷，但不確定性仍然存在，這影響了瑞波幣的未來和XRP的採用。

瑞波幣

證券交易委員會

延遲

確定性

瑞波幣 (XRP)，作爲全球市值第四大的加密貨幣，自2025年5月初以來首次跌破2美元價格水平。美國(USA)在周日早晨襲擊伊朗的消息引發了投資者的恐慌，導致本月加密貨幣恐懼與貪婪指數降至歷史低位。

在一系列看跌事件的漩渦中，包括美國證券交易委員會(SEC)對Ripple Labs案的再次延遲以及中東的緊張局勢，Ripple (XRP)的心理支撐位跌破2美元。

## **$150M 和解暫緩，瑞波幣與SEC案件將繼續拖延？**

關於瑞波幣與SEC案件，一位知名律師討論了這一備受關注的案件在2026年晚些時候才達成和解的可能性。對此，另一位對加密貨幣頗有研究的律師比爾·摩根解釋了爲什麼這種結果不太可能，暗示瑞波幣與SEC將很快開啓5000萬美元的和解協議。

然而，瑞波幣與美國證券交易委員會（SEC）案件的結果可能會拖延到2026年底，前提是地區法官Analisa Torres對雙方上個月提交的聯合動議作出不利裁決。XRP愛好者Bill Morgan稱這一情景爲“不太可能的結果”，並表示該訴訟接近1.5億美元的解決方案。

如果聯合動議確實獲得批準，這將解鎖1.5億美元的XRP托管，其中5000萬美元將支付給證券交易委員會(SEC)。根據1.5億美元的XRP和解協議，另外7500萬美元的XRP將返還給發行方瑞波幣實驗室。

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## 人們還問：

**爲什麼XRP的價格跌破$2？** XRP跌破$2主要是由於Ripple-SEC訴訟的延誤。法律不確定性和市場緊張情緒導致了此次下跌，因此請保持謹慎。

  **瑞波幣-SEC訴訟是關於什麼的？** SEC聲稱瑞波幣非法出售XRP，現有1.5億美元的和解方案但停滯不前。這場持續的鬥爭使XRP的價格受到壓制。

  **我應該在這個下跌期間購買XRP嗎？** XRP低於2美元，但1.5億美元的SEC和解延遲發出風險警告。在行動之前，先等待確認的交易。

  **XRP能否從這個下跌中恢復？** 一項最終確定的1.5億美元SEC和解可能會引發XRP反彈，但不確定性仍然存在。保持謹慎——加密貨幣的下跌可能是殘酷的陷阱。

  **這對瑞波幣的未來有什麼影響？** 150百萬美元的和解延遲減緩了瑞波幣的全球支付推進和XRP的採用。一個解決方案可能會解鎖增長，但這是一場耐心的遊戲。

Ripple (XRP) fell below $2 due to investor panic from geopolitical tensions and delays in the SEC lawsuit. Speculation surrounds a potential $150M settlement, but uncertainty remains, impacting Ripple's future and XRP adoption.

Ripple (XRP), the 4th largest crypto currency by global market cap, dwindled below the $2 price level for the first time since early May, 2025. The news of the United States (USA) striking Iran on Sunday morning set off a wave of panic among investors, flushing the Crypto Fear & Greed Index to record low levels this month.

The weakened psychological support levels below $2 for Ripple (XRP) come amidst a whirlpool of bearish events, including another delay in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) vs Ripple Labs case & tensions in the Middle East.

## **$150M Settlement On Hold, Ripple & SEC Case To Drag On?**

In relation to the Ripple vs. SEC case, a prominent lawyer discussed the odds of the high-profile case not being settled until late 2026. In response, Bill Morgan, another crypto-savvy attorney, explained why such an outcome is unlikely, hinting that Ripple & SEC will get the $50M settlement deal rolling soon.

However, the outcome of the Ripple & SEC case could drag on to late 2026 in the case of District Judge Analisa Torres ruling against the joint motion, submitted by both parties last month. Calling this scenario an “improbable outcome”, XRP enthusiast Bill Morgan claims that the lawsuit is close to the $150 million resolution.

If the joint motion to set an indicative ruling is definitely granted, this would open up the $150 million XRP in escrow, of which $50 million goes to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). According to the $150 million XRP settlement deal, the other $75 million in XRP is returned to the issuer Ripple Labs.

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## People Also Ask:

**Why did XRP’s price drop below $2?** XRP crashed below $2 mainly due to a delay in the Ripple-SEC lawsuit. Legal FUD and market jitters triggered the dip, so stay cautious.

  **What’s the Ripple-SEC lawsuit about?** The SEC says Ripple sold XRP illegally, and a $150M settlement is on the table but stalled. This ongoing saga keeps XRP’s price in a chokehold.

  **Should I buy XRP during this dip?** XRP’s below $2, but the $150M SEC settlement delay screams risk. Hold off and watch for a confirmed deal before jumping in.

  **Can XRP recover from this drop?** A finalized $150M SEC settlement could spark an XRP rally, but uncertainty lingers. Stay cautious—crypto dips can be brutal traps.

  **How does this impact Ripple’s future?** The $150M settlement delay slows Ripple’s global payment push and XRP adoption. A resolution could unlock growth, but it’s a waiting game.

Ripple (XRP) Dives Under $2 Amid SEC vs Ripple Case Stall

瑞波幣 (XRP) 在證券交易委員會與瑞波幣案件停滯期間跌至$2以下

德克薩斯州州長格雷格·阿博特簽署了第21號參議院法案，創建了德克薩斯戰略比特幣儲備，這是美國第一個由州政府運營的基金，直接將公共資金投資於比特幣(BTC)。
這一舉措使比特幣成爲對抗通貨膨脹和金融風險的長期對沖工具。

德克薩斯州州長格雷格·阿博特簽署了第21號參議院法案，創建德克薩斯戰略比特幣儲備，這是美國首個直接投資公共資金於比特幣的州政府基金(BTC)

這一舉措將比特幣定位爲該州投資策略中對抗通貨膨脹和金融風險的長期對沖工具。

## 德克薩斯比特幣儲備有什麼不同？

比特幣儲備將由德克薩斯州公共帳戶審計長管理，並將與州的一般財政分開運作。由加密投資專業人士組成的顧問委員會將監督該基金。

僅市值超過5000億美元的數字資產才有資格，目前僅包括比特幣。

該基金可能通過空投、區塊鏈分叉、投資收益和公衆捐贈而增長。每兩年將發布一份關於儲備表現和持有情況的報告。

爲了確保比特幣儲備不會被轉用於其他州的開支，州長阿博特還簽署了第4488號法案，該法案將其與一般收入基金分開。

## 德克薩斯州在各州和公司擁抱比特幣中領先

德克薩斯州加入亞利桑那州和新罕布什爾州，制定比特幣儲備法，但與那些在沒有分配公共資金的情況下通過比特幣儲備法的州不同，德克薩斯州是第一個承諾實際動用納稅人資金來購買和持有比特幣的州。

儲備金是一個獨立管理的基金，與國家的公共財政分開，確保它不能用於無關的預算需求。

這一舉措反映了越來越多的公司正在將比特幣添加到其資產負債表中，跟隨像MicroStrategy這樣的公司的步伐。

隨着經濟不確定性的持續，政府和企業都在尋找保護資產的新方式。德克薩斯州可能正在爲公共金融戰略向加密貨幣的更廣泛轉變奠定基礎。

## 這爲什麼重要

德克薩斯州正在開創將比特幣作爲政府持有的儲備資產的使用，標志着公共財政中向加密貨幣的轉變。它的舉措可能會激勵其他州或國家探索比特幣作爲對抗通貨膨脹和金融風險的對沖工具。

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## 人們還問：

**什麼是比特幣儲備？** 比特幣儲備是一個資金或資產池，持有比特幣作爲組織或政府財務策略的一部分，通常用作對抗通貨膨脹和經濟不確定性的對沖。

  **爲什麼一個國家會建立比特幣儲備？** 國家可能建立比特幣儲備，以多樣化其投資組合，保護公共資金免受通貨膨脹的影響，並探索利用數字資產的創新金融策略。

  **德克薩斯州比特幣儲備與其他州的比特幣倡議有什麼不同？** 德克薩斯州是美國第一個承諾使用實際公共資金來購買和持有比特幣的州。該州建立了一個專門的基金，與一般財政部分開。

  **德克薩斯比特幣儲備如何增加其持有量？** 儲備可以通過比特幣購買、區塊鏈分叉、空投、投資收益和公開加密貨幣捐贈來增加。

Texas Governor Greg Abbott has signed Senate Bill 21, creating the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, the first state-run fund in the United States to invest public money directly into Bitcoin (BTC) 
The move positions Bitcoin as a long-term hedge against inflation and financial risk in the state’s i

Texas Governor Greg Abbott has signed Senate Bill 21, creating the Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, the first state-run fund in the United States to invest public money directly into Bitcoin (BTC) 

The move positions Bitcoin as a long-term hedge against inflation and financial risk in the state’s investment strategy.

## What Makes Texas Bitcoin Reserve Different?

The Bitcoin reserve will be managed by the Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts and will operate separately from the state’s general treasury. An advisory board made up of crypto investment professionals will oversee the fund 

Only digital assets with a market capitalization exceeding 500 billion dollars are eligible, which currently includes only Bitcoin.

The fund may grow through airdrops, blockchain forks, investment gains, and public donations. A report outlining the reserve’s performance and holdings will be released every two years.

To ensure the Bitcoin reserve is not redirected for other state expenses, Governor Abbott also signed House Bill 4488, which keeps it separate from general revenue funds.

## Texas Leads as States and Companies Embrace Bitcoin

Texas joins Arizona and New Hampshire in passing Bitcoin reserve laws, but unlike those states, which passed Bitcoin reserve laws without allocating public funds, Texas is the first to commit actual taxpayer money to buy and hold Bitcoin.

The reserve is a separate fund, managed independently from the state’s general treasury, ensuring it cannot be used for unrelated budget needs.

The move reflects a growing trend among companies that are adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, following the lead of firms like MicroStrategy.

As economic uncertainty continues, both governments and businesses are seeking new ways to protect their assets. Texas may be laying the groundwork for a broader shift toward crypto in public financial strategy.

## Why This Matters

Texas is pioneering the use of Bitcoin as a reserve asset held by the government, signaling a shift toward cryptocurrency in public finance. Its move could inspire other states or nations to explore Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and financial risk.

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## People Also Ask:

**What is a Bitcoin reserve?** A Bitcoin reserve is a fund or asset pool that holds Bitcoin as part of an organization’s or government’s financial strategy, often used as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.

  **Why would a state create a Bitcoin reserve?** States may establish Bitcoin reserves to diversify their investment portfolios, safeguard public funds against inflation, and explore innovative financial strategies utilizing digital assets.

  **How is the Texas Bitcoin Reserve different from other states’ Bitcoin initiatives?** Texas is the first U.S. state to commit actual public funds to purchase and hold Bitcoin. The state has established a dedicated fund, separate from the general treasury.

  **How can the Texas Bitcoin Reserve grow its holdings?** The reserve can increase through Bitcoin purchases, blockchain forks, airdrops, investment gains, and public crypto donations.

Texas Approves Bitcoin Reserves. Here’s What Makes It Different

德克薩斯州批準比特幣儲備。這就是它不同之處的原因

加密市場正準備迎接新一輪的波動，因爲有報道稱美國可能在接下來的幾天內對伊朗進行軍事打擊。
據彭博社報道，美國高級官員正在積極爲周末可能採取的行動做準備，援引知情人士的話說。

加密

加密市場正準備迎接新的波動，因爲有報道稱美國可能在未來幾天對伊朗進行軍事打擊

據彭博社報道，美國高級官員正在積極爲周末可能採取的行動做準備，援引熟悉內部討論的消息人士的話說。

雖然局勢仍然不穩定，並且仍可以通過外交手段緩解，但市場情緒已經發生了變化。雖然外交仍然可以避免衝突，但加密貨幣市場已經做出了反應——交易員開始厭惡風險，擔心更廣泛的拋售可能引發比特幣的急劇回調。

## 比特幣漲勢停滯，市場情緒轉爲看跌

地緣政治風險已經對加密貨幣市場造成了影響。6 月 12 日至 15 日期間，Santiment 的情緒數據顯示看跌情緒急劇增加，同時比特幣價格下跌 4-6%。這一下跌使加密貨幣總市值蒸發了超過 2000 億美元。

盡管最初有所下降，但BTC在$104,000和$105,000之間穩定，受到連續五天的正面ETF流入和缺乏進一步軍事升級的支持。

Santiment的分析師指出，這與比特幣在以往地緣政治危機中的表現相似。在2022年2月俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭期間，比特幣最初下跌，但隨後回升。在2022年10月以色列-巴勒斯坦衝突期間也出現了類似的模式，當時BTC下跌了7%，但在幾天內又反彈。

“盡管仍有幾個持續的因素，例如持續的關稅問題，仍在影響加密貨幣，但這場最新的現實衝突可能會繼續導致價格波動和不可預測的行情，”Santiment在X上的一篇帖子中寫道。

## 市場承壓

隨着對戰爭的擔憂加劇，其他財務指標也呈紅色閃爍。Polymarket 的數據現在表明，美國在 7 月之前對伊朗採取軍事行動的可能性爲 62%。與此同時，美國股票期貨下跌，黃金漲，美元指數(DXY)攀升至 99 附近，反映出全球市場更廣泛的“避險”轉變。

加密市場也緊隨其後。過去 24 小時內，加密貨幣總市值下降了 1.7% 至 3.26 萬億美元，而 24 小時交易量下降了 8.2%，表明交易者活動有所下降。在不確定性中，BTC 一度跌至 103,840 美元的低點。

## 比特幣的下一步是什麼？

就在關於美國可能對伊朗採取軍事行動的猜測浮出水面前幾天，加密交易員們正在關注6月30日之後可能展開的比特幣突破。

Trader 名叫 Astronomer 表示，比特幣仍可能攀升至 170,000 美元以上，理由是持續的牛市週期。盡管如此，他警告說，短期勢頭仍然看跌，可能會回落至 96,000 美元甚至 90,000 美元左右。

## 爲什麼這很重要

比特幣及更廣泛的加密市場對全球宏觀經濟和地緣政治事件變得越來越敏感，因爲投資者通常逃向更安全的資產，如黃金和美元，導致像加密貨幣這樣的風險資產下跌。

**探索 DailyCoin 的熱門加密新聞：**

特朗普的關稅重塑比特幣挖礦： 中國轉向美國

Ripple 在 XRP ETF 的另一次延遲中上交了 $439M XRP

## 人們也在問：

**地緣政治事件如何影響比特幣價格？** 地緣政治事件，如衝突、戰爭或制裁，可能會在全球市場中造成不確定性。在危機期間，投資者通常會將資金轉移到黃金或美元等更安全的資產中，這可能導致比特幣和其他加密貨幣價格的劇烈波動。

**爲什麼比特幣有時會在危機期間下跌，但隨後會恢復？** 比特幣通常被視爲一種風險資產，因此當投資者在傳統資產中尋求安全時，它最初可能會下跌。然而，比特幣的去中心化性質和有限的供應量通常使其在中長期內具有吸引力，導致價格在最初的拋售後回升。

**投資者如何在動蕩時期保護他們持有的加密貨幣？分散投資、使用止損單以及將一些資產保留爲穩定幣或法定貨幣是在波動期間管理風險的常見策略。隨時了解全球事件和市場趨勢也有助於及時做出決策。

  
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The crypto market is bracing for renewed volatility as reports emerge that the United States may carry out a military strike against Iran in the coming days 
According to a Bloomberg report, senior U.S. officials are actively preparing for possible action over the weekend, citing sources familiar w

The crypto market is bracing for renewed volatility as reports emerge that the United States may carry out a military strike against Iran in the coming days 

According to a Bloomberg report, senior U.S. officials are actively preparing for possible action over the weekend, citing sources familiar with internal discussions.

While the situation remains fluid and could still be defused through diplomacy, market sentiment is already shifting. While diplomacy could still avert conflict, the crypto market is already reacting — traders are turning risk-averse, fearing a broader sell-off that could trigger a steep Bitcoin correction.

## Bitcoin Rally Stalls as Sentiment Turns Bearish

Geopolitical risks have already taken a toll on the cryptocurrency market. Between June 12 and 15, sentiment data from Santiment showed a sharp increase in bearish sentiment, coinciding with a 4–6% drop in Bitcoin’s price. This decline erased over $200 billion from the total cryptocurrency market cap.

Despite the initial decline, BTC stabilized between $104,000 and $105,000, buoyed by five consecutive days of positive ETF inflows and the absence of further military escalation.

Analysts at Santiment noted that this mirrors Bitcoin’s behavior during previous geopolitical crises. During Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Bitcoin initially dropped but later recovered. A similar pattern emerged during the Israel–Palestine conflict in October 2022, when BTC fell by 7% before rebounding within days.

“Though there are several ongoing elements, such as ongoing tariff concerns, that are still impacting cryptocurrency, this latest real world conflict will likely continue to cause volatile and unpredictable price action,” Santiment wrote in a post on X.

## Markets Under Pressure

As war fears grow, other financial indicators are flashing red. Polymarket data now suggests a 62% probability that the U.S. will launch military action against Iran before July. Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures are down, gold has rallied, and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is climbing near 99, reflecting a broader “risk-off” shift across global markets.

Crypto markets have followed suit. The total crypto market cap has decreased by 1.7% over the past 24 hours to $3.26 trillion, while the 24-hour trading volume has dropped 8.2%, indicating a decline in trader activity. BTC briefly fell to a low of $103,840 amid the uncertainty.

## What’s Next for Bitcoin?

Just days before speculation surfaced about potential U.S. military action against Iran, crypto traders were eyeing a possible Bitcoin breakout set to unfold after June 30.

Trader, who goes by the name Astronomer, said Bitcoin could still climb above $170,000, citing the ongoing bull market cycle. Still, he cautioned that short-term momentum remains bearish, with a potential pullback to around $96,000 or even $90,000.

## Why This Matters

Bitcoin and the broader crypto markets are increasingly sensitive to global macroeconomic and geopolitical events, as investors typically flee to safer assets like gold and the U.S. dollar, causing riskier assets like cryptocurrencies to decline.

**Explore DailyCoin’s trending crypto news:**

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Ripple Turns Over $439M XRP Amid Another XRP ETF Delay

## People Also Ask:

**How do geopolitical events impact Bitcoin prices?** Geopolitical events such as conflicts, wars, or sanctions can create uncertainty in global markets. Investors often move their money into safer assets like gold or the U.S. dollar during times of crisis, which can cause volatile price swings in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

  **Why does Bitcoin sometimes drop during crises but then recover?** Bitcoin is often seen as a risk asset, so it can initially fall when investors seek safety in traditional assets. However, Bitcoin’s decentralized nature and limited supply often make it attractive in the medium to long term, leading to price recoveries after initial sell-offs.

  **How can investors protect their crypto holdings during volatile times?** Diversifying investments, using stop-loss orders, and keeping some assets in stablecoins or fiat currency are common strategies to manage risk during volatility. Staying informed about global events and market trends also helps in making timely decisions.

  
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DailyCoin

Sonic Labs 發布開放原始碼庫用於有向無環圖(DAG)區塊鏈驗證

瑞波幣 (XRP) 在證券交易委員會與瑞波幣案件停滯期間跌至$2以下

德克薩斯州批準比特幣儲備。這就是它不同之處的原因

美國可能會打擊伊朗。這對比特幣意味着什麼？